Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.394008 0.464676 0.542570 0.634549 0.739931 0.856626 0.995354
2024-10-20 0.277754 0.368529 0.478917 0.621948 0.801156 1.016958 1.295033
2024-10-27 0.206915 0.304421 0.433504 0.614384 0.858349 1.172663 1.604295
2024-11-03 0.165590 0.266713 0.410782 0.626517 0.935867 1.356999 1.965641
2024-11-10 0.134638 0.235557 0.389181 0.633162 1.002191 1.528896 2.323788
2024-11-17 0.110675 0.209168 0.368549 0.635559 1.059164 1.689532 2.677490
2024-11-24 0.093681 0.190168 0.355291 0.645590 1.126141 1.868016 3.069644
2024-12-01 0.078947 0.171751 0.339329 0.647695 1.178842 2.027159 3.443266
2024-12-08 0.063681 0.148854 0.311361 0.624534 1.185833 2.112978 3.707199
2024-12-15 0.056851 0.141175 0.309622 0.646836 1.271121 2.330693 4.196375
2024-12-22 0.050366 0.132772 0.304960 0.662604 1.345600 2.535164 4.677248
2024-12-29 0.047114 0.130853 0.312767 0.702740 1.467390 2.828514 5.326064
2025-01-05 0.039922 0.118335 0.297080 0.695362 1.501711 2.975232 5.740583
2025-01-12 0.033719 0.106765 0.281505 0.686080 1.531330 3.115939 6.155291
2025-01-19 0.028702 0.096982 0.268187 0.679505 1.565043 3.265907 6.595932
2025-01-26 0.025605 0.091707 0.264520 0.693411 1.641259 3.500383 7.205142
2025-02-02 0.022592 0.085874 0.258452 0.700928 1.704560 3.714290 7.789302
2025-02-09 0.019774 0.079853 0.250821 0.703646 1.757545 3.911372 8.353439
2025-02-16 0.017665 0.075534 0.246900 0.714650 1.829376 4.150347 9.011744
2025-02-23 0.015512 0.070422 0.239879 0.716966 1.881762 4.353260 9.611472
2025-03-02 0.012800 0.062379 0.222973 0.691647 1.868185 4.419163 9.943873
2025-03-09 0.011865 0.060825 0.224927 0.716036 1.972964 4.739265 10.804070
2025-03-16 0.010830 0.058547 0.224271 0.733272 2.062090 5.031559 11.623344